energy input/output data verification and scenario analysis
A 10-year outlook for energy consumption based on several scenarios will be conducted. The analysis will show consumption and greenhouse gas emissions by province for the period 2014 to 2024. EIO has advantages over other approached because the I/O system boundary is considered practically complete which allows for the representation of energy flows throughout the entire economy. The objective of the project:
- To explore extensions of the Energy I/O such as impacts of new energy technologies, or other energy and structural changes.
- to forecast future energy requirements to increased upstream production when injections are done into the traditional I/O model.
Anticipated completion: June 2016
Production Supply Costs and Forecast of Oil Sands Production in Alberta
A forecast of the production of oil sands bitumen and synthetic crude oil (SCO) will be conducted for 2016-2036. In addition, updates to the production costs in oil sands areas by project type will be developed. The objective of this report is to provide an updated forecast of supply costs and production levels.
Anticipated completion: July 2016
Competitive Analysis of the Canadian Petrochemical Sector
The cost competitiveness of the petrochemical industry is of concern to the industry. Investments in Canada are often considered alongside similar investments in other jurisdictions. The objective of this study is to detail the cost drivers for construction and operations of petrochemical facilities in Canada, include transportation to market, as they compare with the U.S. Gulf Coast and Saudi Arabia.
Anticipated completion: September 2016
Economic and Environmental Impacts of Electrification of Canadian Energy Consumption
An economy wide transition from current energy end use fuel mix to a one dominated by electricity is seen as one option to satisfy future energy demands, while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Such a transition requires changing the existing fleet of end use devises-such as vehicles, space heaters, etc.-across all sectors of the economy. Furthermore, it requires much larger electricity generation and transmission infrastructure than today. That would inevitable have significant economic impacts resulting from new investments, stranded assets, and changes to oil, gas and electricity markets. The objective of this study is to assess economic and environmental impacts of electrifying energy end use services in Canada. The assessment will be done using spatially explicit (i.e., provincial specificities will be taken into account) scenario modeling and make use of CERI's existing macroeconomic assessment models.
Anticipated completion: November 2016
Economic and Environmental Potentials and Efficiencies of Oil Sands Operations: Processes and Technologies
Building on the Study 151, “Oil Sands Industry Energy Requirements and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Outlook (2015-2050)”, this study will detail technology and process options that can be used in oil sands production to reduce energy use per barrel. The objective is to identify economic options that can be deployed to the sector and how those options may reduce overall emissions. From the options identified the goal is to build scenarios of technology adoption industry-wide as constrained by economics and/or environmental impacts.
Anticipated completion: December 2016
An Economic Assessment of Electricity Generation Options in Canada
This project will define the different options available for the delivery of electricity service to consumers in Canada. The analysis will consider the economic cost of providing base load and peak electricity from non-renewable, renewable and nuclear generation. These costs will be compared in isolation and then as they impact the markets of the 10 provinces. The objective of the report is to identify the least cost and lowest emissions option for each province. In addition, the lowest emissions option will also allow for the calculation of the implied carbon price.
Anticipated completion: March 2017
An Economic Potential of On-Shore Oil and Gas Production in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick
Consistent with the work completed for Yukon and Quebec, this study will look at production costs and economic impacts of potential oil and gas development in New Brunswick and Nova Scotia. The objective of this project is to detail the size of the resource potential and the possible economic contribution it could make to the economy of those two provinces and to Canada.
Anticipated completion: March 2017
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