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Current Research


AN ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF ELECTRICITY GENERATION OPTIONS IN CANADA

This project will define the different options available for the delivery of electricity service to consumers in Canada.  The analysis will consider the economic cost of providing base load and peak electricity from non-renewable, renewable and nuclear generation.  These costs will be compared in isolation and then as they impact the markets of the 10 provinces.  The objective of the report is to identify the least cost and lowest emissions option for each province.  In addition, the lowest emissions option will also allow for the calculation of the implied carbon price.

Anticipated completion:  July 2017


A COMPARISON OF THE ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS OF INTERPROVINCIAL FLOWS VERSUS IMPORTS OF CRUDE OIL

This project will analyze domestic sourced oil supply versus imports of crude oil.  It will consider the trade implications, market opportunities and the transfer of payments within the Canadian federation. 

Anticipated completion:  September 2017


Economic and Environmental Impacts of Transitioning to Renewable Electricity or Cleaner Electricity Grids in Western Canada

This project will consider alternative pathways to the achievement of cleaner electricity grids in Western Canada.  It will assess the economic impacts including how the wholesale markets might evolve and the net impact on retail prices and GHG emissions.

Anticipated completion:  November 2017


Economic Impacts and Market Challenges for the Methane to Derivatives Petrochemical sub-Sector

The Petrochemical sector in Canada has a significant economic impact.  Aside from the cost competitiveness issue of the ethane to ethylene sub-sector, industry is considering other aspects including the methane to derivatives groups, such as methanol and fertilizers.  This project will assess the supply of and demand for methane to methanol derivatives as well as the non-cost elements that have an influence on economic impacts of the sub-sector and will note how other jurisdictions address those issues. The analysis will also consider the economics of shallow versus deep cut liquids extraction.

Anticipated completion:  November 2017


Market Review of Natural Gas Liquids Exports

This research will provide an update of NGLs production and assess foreign investment attraction of Western Canadian NGL’s for liquids exports to Asia, determine pricing mechanisms and in some cases the lack of transparency in pricing of NGLs.

Anticipated completion:  February 2018


CANADIAN LNG: NEXT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY

The project will outline the next window of opportunity for Canadian LNG exports in the global LNG markets, analysing the global LNG supply and demand and determining where and if Canadian LNG fits in. Various scenarios will be built constrained by current market conditions, environmental policies, infrastructure requirements, contract and merchant LNG trade and competition.

Anticipated completion:  March 2018


ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF OIL SANDS PRODUCTION IN CANADA AND THE US

As part of an annual update, a forecast of the production of oil sands bitumen and Synthetic Crude Oil will be conducted for 2017-2037.  In addition, to updating the production costs in oil sands and production forecast, economic impact analysis will be developed using CERI’s Input/Output model for Canadian and U.S. impacts.  GHG emissions will also be forecast as will Canadian and US job impacts.

Anticipated completion:  April 2018


ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CANADIAN CONVENTIONAL OIL AND GAS SUPPLY IN CANADA AND THE US

As part of an annual update, a forecast of the production of conventional oil and gas production will be conducted for 2017-2037.  This will include onshore and offshore activities as well as emerging oil and gas plays.  In addition, to updating the production costs and production forecast, economic impact analysis will be developed using CERI’s Input/Output model for Canadian and U.S. impacts.  GHG emissions will also be forecast as will Canadian and US job impacts.   

Anticipated completion:  April 2018


CARBON MANAGEMENT IMPACTS ON ELECTRICITY MARKETS IN CANADA

This project will consider the impacts of different carbon management policies on the retail price of electricity in different provinces.  The objective of the study is to show how the design of a carbon management policy affects price and the economy in general.  The study will also assess if these policies result in higher emissions from industrial activities moving to jurisdictions with lower carbon management costs.

Anticipated completion:  April 2018


For more information please email:  info@ceri.ca